Survey Data: Party Differences in Social Distancing and Perceived Risk
This graph shows the normalized coefficients from a regression of beliefs and actions on a seven-point measure of partisan affiliation. Negative estimates indicate less concern about COVID-19 or social distancing. Controls include state FE, demographics, health, and county-level prevalence. Participants are asked to predict future COVID-19 cases, and half are incentivized.
The graph shows that Democrats predict that COVID-19 will spread more, that social distancing is more effective, and report that they socially distance more.
Error bars indicate 95% confidence intervals.